Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.017036 0.021379 0.027107 0.035468 0.047833 0.066304 0.097912
2025-01-19 0.012494 0.017344 0.024795 0.037975 0.063102 0.115848 0.265402
2025-01-26 0.010543 0.015663 0.024417 0.042359 0.084915 0.211206 0.925847
2025-02-02 0.009287 0.014532 0.024291 0.046941 0.112878 0.401303 5.960875
2025-02-09 0.008005 0.012953 0.022685 0.047324 0.131144 0.653276 132.635034
2025-02-16 0.007065 0.011753 0.021419 0.047824 0.151921 1.120096 NaN
2025-02-23 0.006309 0.010735 0.020223 0.047891 0.172767 1.996485 NaN
2025-03-02 0.005546 0.009560 0.018364 0.045061 0.176312 2.881968 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005001 0.008742 0.017149 0.043767 0.188176 5.000521 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004650 0.008271 0.016666 0.044764 0.219191 14.397551 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004320 0.007794 0.016056 0.045042 0.248164 59.390742 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003951 0.007183 0.014973 0.043022 0.253751 211.281623 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003611 0.006640 0.014098 0.042049 0.277155 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.003433 0.006443 0.014140 0.045204 0.372936 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.003328 0.006396 0.014592 0.050804 0.573814 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003224 0.006331 0.014983 0.056718 0.919356 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.003026 0.006006 0.014474 0.057214 1.147680 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002853 0.005720 0.014029 0.057865 1.462930 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002690 0.005440 0.013542 0.057952 1.828297 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002492 0.005048 0.012598 0.054283 1.788513 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002341 0.004762 0.011977 0.052614 1.970223 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002243 0.004604 0.011768 0.053900 2.730880 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002141 0.004427 0.011461 0.054259 3.606334 NaN NaN